02/09/2010 - Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chris Stewart had a goal and two assists as the Colorado Avalanche downed the St. Louis Blues, 5-2, at Pepsi Center.
Brandon Yip had two goals while Paul Stastny added a goal and an assist for the Avalanche, who have won three of their last four. Craig Anderson stopped 32 shots in the loss.
Eric Brewer and Erik Johnson each lit the lamp for the Blues, who have dropped four of five. Chris Mason started in net but was pulled in the second period after giving up five goals on 15 shots. Ty Conklin finished the game between the pipes and stopped all 18 shots he faced.
With the score tied in the second, the Avs exploded for three goals in the frame to take the lead.
The first one came at the 2:25 mark of the period when Ryan Wilson threw a shot on net from the high slot that hit off of Stewart and went into the net.
About 1 1/2 minutes later, Marek Svatos' forechecking caused a turnover in the St. Louis end, and he threw the puck to the right circle where Stastny lifted a backhander into the right corner.
Just over 2 1/2 minutes after Stastny's goal, Yip's simple wrister from the left circle found its way past Mason, who was pulled in favor of Conklin after the goal, for a 5-2 lead.
In the third period, Anderson was sharp as he stopped all 11 shots he faced to keep St. Louis from gaining any momentum.
St. Louis got on the board just 3:34 into the game on Brewer's sixth goal of the season.
Colorado, though, tied the game just 28 seconds later as T.J. Galiardi received a pass at the right circle and skated into the low slot where he fired a wrister into the top right corner.
Less than four minutes later, Johnson again gave the Blues a one-goal lead on his fifth goal of the season, but Yip's tip-in on the power-play with 3:18 left in the first tied the game back up.
Game Notes
Colorado hosts Atlanta on Wednesday...St. Louis hosts Detroit on Tuesday...Colorado took a 4-0 decision in St. Louis on December 7...Colorado is 8-0-0 on Monday this season...Colorado went 1-for-6 on the power play while St. Louis failed to score on any of its three chances.
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Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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